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3
Steps
Elliott Wave theory could be considered under this topic, but Edson
Gould said it best because of its simplicity: "Always expect a third
step, but be prepared for a fourth." When it comes to the 3 step pattern,
there are countless variations. Price and/or time symmetry are not
uncommon features to this pattern. The recent low on April 4 2001
in the Nasdaq cash market is a good illustration of a 3 step pattern
with both time and price symmetry. Symmetrical moves are a very important
dynamic in the analysis here at Structural Logic and are mentioned
frequently as APP's (alternate price projections) or ATP's (alternate
time projections). Robert Miner introduced these concepts in his book
"Dynamic Trading." Robert Miner's application of these terms are much
more broad in ratio scope than here. Structural Logic's ratio applications
of APP's and ATP's strictly adhere to100% time and price symmetries.
Sometimes, markets do experience 4th steps up or down, and we do need
to be prepared for them. Markets do love the number three in all its
myriad forms, but sometimes there are more powerful forces at work
that need to accounted for. This was a very common theme during the
1966-1974 bear markets on the Dow weekly charts. 3 step bear market
of 1966-1974. |
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